Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 8 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
12 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.
This alert expired on 16 September 2026 at 23:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 7th strongest of the 19 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 29 July 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 6 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 16 at 3:16PM MDT until September 16 at 5:30PM MDT by NWS Albuquerque NM
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 16 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 16 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.61/1 |
| Coordinates | 35.2280, -110.9160 |
| Nearest City | Flagstaff (67 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 0 within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-16T21:16:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.3b3ff4df94374f8558db09f615a85ee4e08284a6.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-16T21:16:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-09-16T21:20:38.487Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | San Juan, NM; McKinley, NM; McKinley, NM; San Juan, NM and 15 more areas |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued September 16 at 3:16PM MDT until September 16 at 5:30PM MDT by NWS Albuquerque NM |
| Expires | 2026-09-16T17:30:00-06:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Albuquerque NM |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 27 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3b3ff4df94374f8558db09f615a85ee4e08284a6.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.edddcd92cf330e978e065e0d840128abcf748d90.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d6ad8278538ad8695181e16f56f8fc6da351df4b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2f192e97612f35d31957f3f5ae0c0fb37d18ef97.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.68a6f5955dc14fbdb04c1aa53912dafd2e5387f4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.24eb9f286f2683f3c6abce5debbdea5961efec01.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d2a162679a3c7805eeaa6c92e50a9a1ebbc8e027.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8242c9002d9808e3f0dcb0a72fada94a48aae7af.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d6bf82c929ca480a713817ba3cd33266d96d392d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b5fc327a317dc2dee2b7013adaf48b88fff725af.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ed68d2d404b7c035fda1f821a08cf7f3e7a69e2d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.414744841776099543b375c603b6daadb0bf4e69.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6877174fd2c76a587039d561789f8b77e09f416e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c18cb7075eb849637cfb506a243a4e5713a95ecf.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.34b39539e3187ae0421a9bf4a1c302fcc6dbf23e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5d938ffdd8c5b0acb953c906f6dc168f12a97d64.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d6bf9ba4754355cd5211cdb03d56457765ea7636.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bcdd083388bb62469c2ef21aac9c78947ba58829.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.40f47c64079415325f8ad6bb4bb0c9ecaa8355fc.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f25d086eabb4bbf2db069240fe26dd81325f55d2.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.84816bcbdc75009de6f9a008f2eeebe9c524b6de.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c8e98b1ddf582c11023b4ba5d0985119640c55fb.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ddd5311b597df77477c99be4a07214944400a4d3.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.94cc5ef3fddf415c2710da0a902411b16ddd11ed.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.08c59276e27045cc5787d862ea30eccef7653479.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5ac798a2f4eafc41bbb191de4151fe223be3f0f7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.69523f9a56a6d46c309db1122ae5e07892cdddf7.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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